pathetic, creating another id and then defending yourself. pathetic parenting got to you.
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"thought to increase"
a lot is still not known about this disease. a lot of it is still guesswork.
they say wearing masks is supposed to help. if it were so, why are so many people still getting it ? or do they mean the ones getting it are the ones not wearing masks ?
Hi alexchinn.
I don't think there is much more we can do to help you.
There is a lot that is known now about Covid and how to treat it, sure we are still fighting it worldwide... but to say it's just "guesswork"?
Vaccines were developed in record time, other treatments are now also available when hospitalised.
You may not be aware, the death rate in the elderly has been reduced from about 22% in the beginning to around1.6% now.
For the <70 yr population in Australia, the death rate was initially around 0.2%. Very low. Now around 0.01% approximately.
The severe illness and death rates are way lower now.
None of this is "guesswork".
BTW: deaths from the flu in 2019 was around 940.
Can't help you much more than that.
Most people catch it in their homes where people don’t wear masks.
If you walk around a shopping centre observe the following:
How many people don’t wear masks including children
Those that wear masks but dont cover their nose. Sure glad I don’t breathe in or out through the nose
How many fidget with their masks with their filthy fingers
If you wear your mask, sanitise your hands before putting your hand anywhere near your face and keep socially distant and your chances are heavily minimised. Your home is where you are most likely to catch it though.
Care to demonstrate where you pulled those stats out of your ass?
https://www.abs.gov.au/articles/covi...by-age-and-sex
I get them from this website from the Australian Department of Health.
They've been reporting and updating data on cases and deaths broken into deciles ... from the start.
https://www.health.gov.au/health-ale...and-statistics
Hope that assists your endeavours.
I must be a bit confused then, because the only data I can see on the website you claim to get your information from is for total deaths to date, and the figures don't match your percentages.
They actually don't calculate death rates.
They provide cases and death stats updated daily.
I started recording the data early on and calculating the death rate for the "young" and "elderly".
I noted that most deaths were in the elderly age bracket. Small portion of the cases and most of the deaths.
Most actually were in Victoria. I think we could have done much better to look after the elderly in a coordinated and controlled way.
As time progressed, I saved out the aggregated stats up to that point.
I did that a few times.
Firstly once vaccinations were ramping up, and again when Omicron appeared.
Because I have the separate stats up to those times I can separate out the death rates up to and within those periods.
I'm still waiting for the latest stats to build up ... but overwhelming evidence on the study I've done myself is that the death rate is coming down significantly.
For me it's a combination of:
- vaccinations
- better hospital treatment
- milder variant.
What I think from here on is that:
- focus is now on hospitalisations and not cases.
- less emphasis on testing and contact tracing.
- rules around contact tracing and when you get tested etc ... will change.
- subsequently there will be more people with covid without that being known (like a bigger area under the tip of the iceberg. Bigger than before).
- most people will catch covid in 2022.
Saying all that. I'm currently in quarantine awaiting a test result. Fair chance I've got it but not certain.
Two members of immediate family group are tested positive. One in hospital.
Thanks Leon.
The data I'd like to see from here is:
- hospitalisations broken down into vaccinated or not.
- ICU broken down into vaccinated or not.
- deaths broken down into broken down into vaccinated or not.
- - hospitalisations broken down into which variant.
- ICU broken down into which variant.
- deaths broken down into broken down into which variant.
Information is light.
Calculating new deaths as a percentage of new case numbers is a flawed analysis. Mortality rate is the number of deaths as a percentage of total resolved cases (recovered + dead). The new infections are yet to be decided whether they will live or die so including them in your analysis makes the results flawed. You are also assuming that the time frame for someone to go from infection/detection to death is a constant.
Thanks for the links to the stats peoples - interesting to pawn through them and get some actual facts. I definitely would like to see the death split between number into ICU and deaths based on double vaccinated, single vaccinated, and non vaccinated to get a real picture.
Very informative boys, last place to expect this from lol. Keep it up