Originally Posted by
AHLUNGOR
It's Caulfield Cup time, I don't think we will have anther 50-1 chance like Boom Time last year, the two local favourites of Kings Will Dream and Youngstar from the two dominant big stables of DK Weir and Chris Waller respectively, could well have the race between them. Until that import Yucatan trashed the field in the Herbert Power easing down that I realised the overseas horses are here to win. and then in typical Lloyd Williams fashion, Yucatan is not running in Caulfield to avoid further penalty, so we are back to square one.
So while I might still take the 14 and 18 and the field for my trifecta, and then the field to come first and second, my tips for the Cup would involve 8 horses, half local and half overseas and hopefully can still get some value in it.
If money is no object and you have won some money before from my tips, then you should just box the 8 horse in the trifecta @$336.00 for a 1 unit or $168.00 for 1/2 unit.
A full unit on the First 4 will cost $1,680 or $168 for 10%
1. Best Solution, 16-1 (won back to back group 1 in Germany over 2,400)
2. The Cliffsofmoher, 7-1 (Aidan O'Brien, L Williams and H Bowman!)
6. Ace High, 12-1 (VRC Derby winner and second in the AJC, won the Hill Stakes by 2L with 58, drop 3 kg and has Oliver)
7. The Taj Mahal, 19-1 (Hit form at the right time, Williams and J Mac)
13. Homesman, 13-1 (3rd of the Williams horse, won group 1 Underwood here and drops 6kg)
14. Kings Will Dream, 5-1 F (won the Mornington Cup 2400 by 5 length, current WFA form good, less than 2 length behind Winx in Turnbull and drops 3.5kg)
17. Night Watch, 21-1 (like to include an outsider, might as well from the Weir and he likes Caulfield, bad draw but light weight, any rain he will be right in this)
18. Youngstar, 6-1 (nearly caused a boil over with Winx at the Turnbull, that's the best local form line and you won't have a more in form jockey in Mcevoy who just conquered the Everest - Twice !)
There you go, may the best horse win.
Cheers
Reply With Quote
