Congrats Travelmate, looks like you'll have enough for massages till New Years. :cool2:
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this is reason I only bet $322 yesterday and total lost!
I should save $322... since I already said it was a risky day.
Next few days may be hard as GAME 3 for NBA are all AWAY games!
Taking
MIA -5.0 over 186.5
OKC +3.5 over 194.5
Also combined with
PHI -2 over 179.5
Basketball is round, nothing is for sure.
Just like Boston beat ATL, when ATL pay 1.33 H2H, Now Miami pay 1.40 H2H
I will take NY+4.5/over186.5 plus 1st quarter is the highest score
The only chance to beat MIAMI is get more rebounds (Tyson Chandle) and 3 point shooting(Steve Novak & J. R Smith)
Dallas and OkC is very close game, when two team is even, take whoever has +
OKC+3.5/over194.5
Not to step on any toes but according to the stats it looks like Miami will win tomorrow.
Chandler has 7 rebounds so that's on par with Stoudemire who has hurt his left hand, Anthony has 9 rebounds. So it's looking pretty bad so far for NYK.
Smith and Novak both scored 1 out of 3 attempts at a 3 pointer, not good at all. Home crowd is not going to do much for their spirit.
What I forgot to add was that James and Wade play at Madison Square Gardens all the time and they love it, ask any NBA fan and you will get the same answer. This is something that stats never show, just experience and a true understanding of the game.
But you have to know. Sometimes stat have strange power of affecting a bet which should looks like a surefire. Example? Barcelona - Chelsea at Nou Camp. :smile:
The numbers say Messi have never scored against Chelsea, and you see on that game, Messi even missed a penalty, a strong shot that hit the bar.
Barcelona score 2 goals, and neither is scored by Messi.
Oh well, nobody knows, had Messi scored in that game, the story is different.
But what can I tell you, sometimes the numbers are your best friend.
Surely you know more about basketball. Just adding my 2 cents. :smile:
And from the database I retrieved from oddsshark.com, a site you recommend, last 20 games at Madison Square Garden, NYK have lost only 4 times, and that's the only time they lost ATS. The names on the loser list include, Lakers, Clippers, Hawks, Mavericks, Pacers, Bulls.
But, yes it's true, they lost a game against Heat. Ending 9 games winning streak.
One more point to add, sometimes, just sometimes. A choice that looks like very obvious, might go the other way.
Barcelona have never lost against anyone at NouCamp, Chelsea could hardly give any threat in the first leg game, Barcelona was attacking all the time, Drogba's knee is not fully recovered, Gary Cahill injured during the second leg, Terry got sent off. Sure win Barcelona? It was a draw, and Chelsea got the ticket to the final. :smile:
Just tell me, someone who knows English football, just give me one, who ever expected Torres to score in the second leg? And when you know the second leg is against Barcelona. :smile:
Torres was a top scorer at EPL, but that was old story, after Chelsea splurge 50Million Euro to buy him from Liverpool, he hardly score any goals. In the space of 8 months, September - April, he scored 2 goals, including the one against Barcelona. But last week he scored a hattrick. Maybe he will get in the right form soon.
My point is, from my view, this game, Heat - Knicks at Madison Square Garden, might be not as easy as it looks like.
Just my 2 cents,
:smile:
I never liked soccer because of it's unpredictable nature, basketball on the other hand is constantly fighting an average which is very easy to track. There are only two sports that I prefer to bet on and it's NBA & NFL, both have a steady amount of games and they both have very interesting playoffs. I prefer to concentrate on NBA as like I said before, it's much easier to predict than what the quarterback is about to do with an oddly shaped long ball. Most professional gamblers I know all bet on NBA and NFL but they also are very good at picking the ponies. All I can say is if you make more than double what you bet and you win only half the time you are ahead with all things being equal of course. I won't say anymore as I don't want to end up like my friend Ranogajec.
miami -4.5 over 186.5 $3.25
okc + 3.5 over 194.5 $ 3.5
I am still studying
Now NY +5.5 is favorite
I agree Jj999 it is not easy game although all stats and facts go towards Miami. It just my feeling, Miami for sure will win this series
Let's not argue anymore, just watch and enjoy the game
MIA - 5.5
$3000
MIA - 5.5 and over 186.5 point $600
Im so dead! Not gonna get -86 points
*186 points
This Miami game is so freaking awesome, it's like crazy basketball with massive defence going on.