Reply With QuoteBut you have to know. Sometimes stat have strange power of affecting a bet which should looks like a surefire. Example? Barcelona - Chelsea at Nou Camp.Originally Posted by GWEILO
The numbers say Messi have never scored against Chelsea, and you see on that game, Messi even missed a penalty, a strong shot that hit the bar.
Barcelona score 2 goals, and neither is scored by Messi.
Oh well, nobody knows, had Messi scored in that game, the story is different.
But what can I tell you, sometimes the numbers are your best friend.
Surely you know more about basketball. Just adding my 2 cents.
And from the database I retrieved from oddsshark.com, a site you recommend, last 20 games at Madison Square Garden, NYK have lost only 4 times, and that's the only time they lost ATS. The names on the loser list include, Lakers, Clippers, Hawks, Mavericks, Pacers, Bulls.
But, yes it's true, they lost a game against Heat. Ending 9 games winning streak.
One more point to add, sometimes, just sometimes. A choice that looks like very obvious, might go the other way.
Barcelona have never lost against anyone at NouCamp, Chelsea could hardly give any threat in the first leg game, Barcelona was attacking all the time, Drogba's knee is not fully recovered, Gary Cahill injured during the second leg, Terry got sent off. Sure win Barcelona? It was a draw, and Chelsea got the ticket to the final.
Just tell me, someone who knows English football, just give me one, who ever expected Torres to score in the second leg? And when you know the second leg is against Barcelona.
Torres was a top scorer at EPL, but that was old story, after Chelsea splurge 50Million Euro to buy him from Liverpool, he hardly score any goals. In the space of 8 months, September - April, he scored 2 goals, including the one against Barcelona. But last week he scored a hattrick. Maybe he will get in the right form soon.
My point is, from my view, this game, Heat - Knicks at Madison Square Garden, might be not as easy as it looks like.
Just my 2 cents,
