TRAVELMATE Winning Tips

[Travelmate]

WNBA
Indinia Fever to WIN x $3000

WON by 3 points, but this is good enough

[Jj999]

Well, it's true that your winning percentage is high.
But you don't bet on odds 1.91 all the time.
If you do, you won't be able to attain 70% winning rate.
Of course that's for one year betting.
Let's say 5 games a day, then 1800 bets a year.
Winning 70% on odds of 1.91 is too high.
But, maybe you could do it.

However, statistically, it's almost impossible.

[GWEILO]

I don't think I need very high success rate the way I bet, I'm a high odds player so I only need a good win out of every ten or so bets to be ahead. Most people think I'm crazy for not betting singles because of my high success rate with individual picks but then again they don't understand what I'm doing. Mathematically I have a better chance of coming out ahead by playing the high odd bet than the low odd bet, I did the numbers a while ago and it seems true from my experience so far.

[Jj999]

I don't think I need very high success rate the way I bet, I'm a high odds player so I only need a good win out of every ten or so bets to be ahead. Most people think I'm crazy for not betting singles because of my high success rate with individual picks but then again they don't understand what I'm doing. Mathematically I have a better chance of coming out ahead by playing the high odd bet than the low odd bet, I did the numbers a while ago and it seems true from my experience so far.

Actually, if you wanna say mathematically, then, the higher the odds, the higher is the edge for the bookmaker.
I do parlay just for fun, or if I can get higher odds betting parlay. For example, bet365 bonus for parlay.

For parlay, the more leg you add the more edge for the bookmaker, for example. Odds of 1.91 and 1.91.
That's around 4.5% for the bookmaker.

But, say I wanna bet OKC, SAS, LAL on point spread.
I would do better parlaying three of them. Because of the bonus from bet365.com
However, if the parlay is not just for fun, then you have to do proper staking.
Because with parlay, the chance of winning is lower.

But everyone is to their own, theyhave their own way. And I doubt that what are they doing are going to affect my life.
I have my own. You have your own view.

Cheers,

[Jj999]

My pick for today, SFG to win @ 1.83
This is really juicy odds, considering Matt Cain is starting against a first time starter.

Matt Cain is awesome pitcher. And against a first time starter.
It's very juicy odds on Giants to win.

[GWEILO]

Actually, if you wanna say mathematically, then, the higher the odds, the higher is the edge for the bookmaker.
I do parlay just for fun, or if I can get higher odds betting parlay. For example, bet365 bonus for parlay.

For parlay, the more leg you add the more edge for the bookmaker, for example. Odds of 1.91 and 1.91.
That's around 4.5% for the bookmaker.

But, say I wanna bet OKC, SAS, LAL on point spread.
I would do better parlaying three of them. Because of the bonus from bet365.com
However, if the parlay is not just for fun, then you have to do proper staking.
Because with parlay, the chance of winning is lower.

But everyone is to their own, theyhave their own way. And I doubt that what are they doing are going to affect my life.
I have my own. You have your own view.

Cheers,

Sorry I think mathematically was a poor choice of words by me, statistically would be more appropriate.

It may sound strange but the edge is exploitable if you make educated guesses.

For example a blackjack game can be exploited if you can count cards, the edge is in your favour by a small margin but it's no guarantee that you will win. I've split aces and stood on 17 but at the end of the day the basic strategy is only a guide. Only your experience and understanding of the game can help you hopefully make the right decision.

Also it's not like people don't win lotto, it happens all the time. I think for a few members on this forum and many others we are the exception that defy the odds and beat the house time and time again.

[Jj999]

Sorry I think mathematically was a poor choice of words by me, statistically would be more appropriate.

It may sound strange but the edge is exploitable if you make educated guesses.

For example a blackjack game can be exploited if you can count cards, the edge is in your favour by a small margin but it's no guarantee that you will win. I've split aces and stood on 17 but at the end of the day the basic strategy is only a guide. Only your experience and understanding of the game can help you hopefully make the right decision.

Also it's not like people don't win lotto, it happens all the time. I think for a few members on this forum and many others we are the exception that defy the odds and beat the house time and time again.

Of course, I like to defy the odds too.
The reward is big, and the feeling I get when it really hits, is better than sex. Seriously. Esp. When the odds were >100.

My comments before. I'm just saying my view.
What I said before, I viewed everything on terms of expected value. But it doesn't matter, everyone has their own way. And let's not discuss that anymore, cause I don't feel like it.


Good luck for us in defying odds.

[Travelmate]

Well, it's true that your winning percentage is high.
But you don't bet on odds 1.91 all the time.
If you do, you won't be able to attain 70% winning rate.
Of course that's for one year betting.
Let's say 5 games a day, then 1800 bets a year.
Winning 70% on odds of 1.91 is too high.
But, maybe you could do it.

However, statistically, it's almost impossible.

This is what I told you earlier.
This is not all about winning percentage, this is about the odds that we are taking!
I am winning over 70% from single bet. It is impossible all of them is 1.91

say Tennis,
If you bet Nadal, it may may 1.10 to win the game
1.22 to win 2-0
Almost impossible to get 1.91 unless you bet on handicapped such as Nadal -8.5 total games which sometimes that is too much risk.

Brother jj999, I am also a math man, but I believe this game is bit difference than stock market.

I never claim and be pride I am winning more than 70%. I am proud if I have a 7 or 8 legs on NBA games, and I won all of their legs. That is winning good money.
Some brothers will know what I am saying here.

[Travelmate]

This one for you Brother jj999.

WNBA, Seattle Storm - 8 at 1.90

[Jj999]

This is what I told you earlier.
This is not all about winning percentage, this is about the odds that we are taking!
I am winning over 70% from single bet. It is impossible all of them is 1.91

say Tennis,
If you bet Nadal, it may may 1.10 to win the game
1.22 to win 2-0
Almost impossible to get 1.91 unless you bet on handicapped such as Nadal -8.5 total games which sometimes that is too much risk.

Brother jj999, I am also a math man, but I believe this game is bit difference than stock market.

I never claim and be pride I am winning more than 70%. I am proud if I have a 7 or 8 legs on NBA games, and I won all of their legs. That is winning good money.
Some brothers will know what I am saying here.

Sorry, I think my wording are not good.
I shouldn't quote your post, I fully understand what you mean.
I didn't mean to say that you are claiming to get 70% winning on odds 1.91
What I said is if you go for 1.91 odds, 70% is impossible. And of course you know that it's impossible too.

Well, good luck for us.
I know 7 or 8 legs parlay is a good money.
I've won some parlays with 8 legs. And indeed, the feeling when it hits is one of the best feeling in the world.

[GWEILO]

Sorry, I think my wording are not good.
I shouldn't quote your post, I fully understand what you mean.
I didn't mean to say that you are claiming to get 70% winning on odds 1.91
What I said is if you go for 1.91 odds, 70% is impossible. And of course you know that it's impossible too.

Well, good luck for us.
I know 7 or 8 legs parlay is a good money.
I've won some parlays with 8 legs. And indeed, the feeling when it hits is one of the best feeling in the world.

I'm working on a 5 leg with 9 selections for MLB right now, I'll post my results shortly!!!

[Travelmate]

This one for you Brother jj999.

WNBA, Seattle Storm - 8 at 1.90

Seattle Storm is 16 points in front with 2:45 to go in 4th quarter!
YEAH! I think I am going to win $900

[Travelmate]

Sea Storm end up winning by 17 points

[Travelmate]

WNBA
LAS to win the Game
$800 on

[Travelmate]

WNBA
LAS to win the Game
$800 on

LAS is 3 points behind. But I am confident it can recover

[AHLUNGOR]

Sea Storm end up winning by 17 points

I wish Melbourne Storm could have just won by 1 point...............lol

[Travelmate]

I wish Melbourne Storm could have just won by 1 point...............lol

Melbourne Storm lost by its own merit.
This is just one bet only.
Never mind.

[Travelmate]

LAS is 3 points behind. But I am confident it can recover

I am going to lose one, afterall....

[GWEILO]

Came very close to my jackpot today but missed it by a hair, Yankee's won by 1 point but I need 2 to cover my -1.5 and MIA got very lucky today. SF game had a starter that didn't play so it was voided. Otherwise a very good win for a beginner.

Bet Confirmation - ST0711748320I - Internet Time of bet: 24/06/2012 22:00:07 Print
Selections
No. Selections Event Event Date E/W Terms Odds Result
1 (M Garza & Wade Miley must start) ARI Diamondbacks -1.5
Pitcher details CHI Cubs(M Garza) @ ARI Diamondbacks(W Miley)
(Run Line) 25/06/2012 None 2.35 Won
2 (C Sabathia & R Dickey must start) NY Yankees -1.5
Pitcher details NY Yankees(C Sabathia) @ NY Mets(R Dickey)
(Run Line) 25/06/2012 None 2.55 Lost
3 (J Verlander & K Correia must start) PIT Pirates +1.5
Pitcher details DET Tigers(J Verlander) @ PIT Pirates(K Correia)
(Run Line) 25/06/2012 None 1.95 Won
4 (D Lowe & J Happ must start) HOU Astros -1.5
Pitcher details CLE Indians(D Lowe) @ HOU Astros(J Happ)
(Run Line) 25/06/2012 None 2.80 Won
5 (L Lynn & Jonathan Sanchez must start) STL Cardinals -1.5
Pitcher details STL Cardinals(L Lynn) @ KC Royals(J Sanchez)
(Run Line) 25/06/2012 None 2.05 Won
6 (A White & Matt Harrison must start) TEX Rangers -1.5
Pitcher details COL Rockies(A White) @ TEX Rangers(M Harrison)
(Run Line) 25/06/2012 None 1.76 Won
7 (Matt Cain & B McCarthy must start) Over 6.0
Pitcher details SF Giants(M Cain) @ OAK Athletics(B McCarthy)
(Game Totals) 25/06/2012 None 1.80 Void
8 (R Detwiler & J Arrieta must start) WAS Nationals +1.5
Pitcher details WAS Nationals(R Detwiler) @ BAL Orioles(J Arrieta)
(Run Line) 25/06/2012 None 1.52 Won
9 (Jesse Chavez & Mark Buehrle must start) TOR Blue Jays +1.5
Pitcher details TOR Blue Jays(J Chavez) @ MIA Marlins(M Buehrle)
(Run Line) 25/06/2012 None 1.60 Lost
Multiples
Bet Type No of Bets Unit Stake Stake To Win Returns
5 Folds 126 1.62 204.12 6,726.54 773.88
Total Stake: 204.12 Total Returns: 773.88 plus bonuses

[GWEILO]

For sports fans out there I have found an app that is worthwhile. It's called StreamTorrent, just leave it open for about 10-15 minutes after the install for it to connect to all the channels. After this you can do a search like "baseball" and it will come up with some very good quality video feeds. Cheers.