Originally Posted by
AHLUNGOR
OK, this is it, and the rain has stopped, Flemington is a Soft 6, so I guess most horse can probably handle that:
Here are my thoughts:
The Caulfield Cup form is still the most reliable and the top 4 from Caulfield can all win this without too much surprises.
The Cox Plate only provided one runner and Buckaroo almost ruin the party for Via Sistina. He's the class runner.
The top weight hasn't won for a very time and for good reasons, but Al Riffa is the premium stayer in the field, he is probably in the same class as Vinnie Roe who was beaten by the Diva in the wet with top weight and there ain't no Diva in this field.
There's you half dozen top chances, just have to find a bit of value to add to the trifecta:
So my tips this year for the Cup is as follows:
1. Al Riffa 7-1
2. Buckaroo 11-1
6. Presage Nocturne 9-1
10. Flatten the Curve 19-1 French horse with very good form
14. Half Yours 8-1
17. Furthur 41-1 Northern Hemisphere 3 years old with upside,
21. River of Stars 17-1
24. Valiant King 10-1
Sportsbet fixed odds exotic: showing not a bad result if they are successful.
Fixed
Avg: $2,639.91 Max: $9,901.00 Min: $526.00
The cost for 1 unit to box the 8 horses is $336, 1/2 unit is $168. but of course, you can just put $50 or $20 on it and win a smaller percentage just for the fun of it.
Sportsbet Same Race Multi also allows you to bet up to top 10. and if you put all the 8 horses to run in the top 10 in what ever order, the odds is $141, which is pretty good too even for a $5.00 bet
Good luck everyone, hope I have some good news to report come 3.15pm
Cheers
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